The Arizona Diamondbacks: Underdogs Rising?
In a surprising turn of events, the Arizona Diamondbacks are no longer the favorites heading into the new season. After two consecutive years of missing the postseason, despite high expectations, the team is now seen as an underdog. But is this a blessing in disguise?
With a challenging year behind them and key players recovering from injuries, the D-backs' chances of making the playoffs, according to FanGraphs, stand at a mere 31.6%. However, MLB.com's Jared Greenspan believes Arizona has what it takes to defy the odds and make a comeback.
Unstable Pitching: The Biggest Hurdle
Greenspan identifies the pitching staff as the primary reason for Arizona's low playoff chances. He highlights the absence of key bullpen arms, Justin Martinez and A.J. Puk, who are recovering from major elbow surgeries. Last season, the D-backs' bullpen ERA was the fourth-highest in the league, and FanGraphs ranks their relievers 27th in projected WAR.
But here's where it gets interesting. The Diamondbacks' offense has often been their saving grace, compensating for poor pitching. A superstar trio at the top of the order, consisting of Ketel Marte, Corbin Carroll, and Geraldo Perdomo, has consistently ranked among the top five offenses in baseball for two seasons.
"After weathering trade rumors, Ketel Marte remains in Arizona, keeping the league's best top-of-the-order trio intact. FanGraphs projects each player to surpass the 4-WAR threshold in 2026, a feat only matched by the Dodgers and Mets."
And this is the part most people miss: the Diamondbacks' offense could be the key to their success. With Gabriel Moreno and Pavin Smith also expected to have healthy and productive seasons, the team's offensive prowess could propel them towards a playoff berth.
The Return of Key Players
Greenspan also highlights the returns of Merrill Kelly and Zac Gallen, with Corbin Burnes set to join mid-season. This could significantly boost the D-backs' rotation.
However, the bullpen remains the X-factor. While the team can take and extend leads, their late-inning relief work has been inconsistent, often costing them crucial victories.
So, can the Arizona Diamondbacks defy the odds and make a playoff run? Only time will tell. What are your thoughts? Do you think they have what it takes, or will they fall short again? Let's discuss in the comments and see if we can predict their fate!
